Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:55 UK
Al Taawoun 49Draw 24Al Fateh 27
The call
73%
Al Taawoun or draw
3.1
Goals expected
10d 16hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Taawoun to score84%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Both teams to score61%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L W L D L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATA 4 · D 0 · AFA 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Al-Taawoun 3–2 Al Fateh FC
Nov 2025Al Fateh FC 2–5 Al-Taawoun
Mar 2025Al Fateh FC 1–2 Al-Taawoun
Oct 2024Al-Taawoun 2–0 Al Fateh FC
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Common questions

Who will win Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Taawoun are favoured (49% win probability vs 27% for Al Fateh, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Taawoun 1-1 Al Fateh (11.0% probability). Expected total goals: 3.14.

How does Bawler predict Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Taawoun 49%, the draw 24% and Al Fateh 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh?

BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.83 and away expected goals 1.31.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Taawoun vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.14. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Al Taawoun form →Al Fateh form →