NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
48NEC Nijmegen win26Draw26Levski Sofia win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1–1. NEC Nijmegen had 18 shots (9 on target) to Levski Sofia's 8 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

NEC NijmegenFull-time statsLevski Sofia
51%Possession49%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
18Shots8
9Shots on target2
11Shots inside box7
4Big chances3
6Corners1
1Saves8
14Fouls14
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if NEC Nijmegen win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
54%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

NEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenLevski SofiaLevski Sofia
1.7Goals1.2
17.6Shots16.2
4.7On target5.7
5.2Corners4.9
NEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenLevski SofiaLevski Sofia
0.7Goals0.5
7.7Shots7.4
2.1On target2.6
2.4Corners2.3
NEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenLevski SofiaLevski Sofia
1.0Goals0.7
9.9Shots8.8
2.6On target3.1
2.7Corners2.6

What we said the chances were

NEC Nijmegen to score81%
2 or more goals78%
Levski Sofia to score69%
Goal before half-time69%
3 goals or fewer68%

First half — what we expected

NEC Nijmegen
48%
to score before half-time
Levski Sofia
41%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

NEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenLevski SofiaLevski Sofia
60%7+ shots56%
38%9+ shots34%
57%2+ shots on target69%
17%4+ shots on target27%
87%1+ corners85%
42%3+ corners39%

League position

Levski Sofia in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →NEC Nijmegen form →Levski Sofia form →

Common questions

Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1–1. NEC Nijmegen had 18 shots (9 on target) to Levski Sofia's 8 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 48%, the draw 26% and Levski Sofia 26%.

What were the stats in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.2, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 4–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.