NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1–1. NEC Nijmegen had 18 shots (9 on target) to Levski Sofia's 8 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1–1. NEC Nijmegen had 18 shots (9 on target) to Levski Sofia's 8 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 48%, the draw 26% and Levski Sofia 26%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.2, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 4–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.