FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 20 September 2026
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead EaglesMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
NEC Nijmegen win
51%
Draw
22%
Result
Go Ahead Eagles win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 1.4
Total 3.5
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.