FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Levski Sofia 1–0 Jagiellonia BialystokMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Levski Sofia win
38%
Result
Draw
27%
Jagiellonia Bialystok win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.