Before kickoff our call was NEC Nijmegen or draw at 79%. Bawler had NEC Nijmegen at 58%, the draw at 22% and Fortuna Sittard at 21%. The match finished 2–2.
The match produced 0.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.