FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Levski Sofia 0–1 RB SalzburgMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Levski Sofia win
34%
Draw
25%
RB Salzburg win
41%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.