FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC NijmegenMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Dinamo Zagreb win
53%
Draw
25%
NEC Nijmegen win
23%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 3.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.