NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 5 Sept · 15:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 5 Sept · 15:30 UK
NEC Nijmegen 37Draw 25Feyenoord Rotterdam 38
The call
38%
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
3.2
Goals expected
13d 14hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

NEC Nijmegen or draw62%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
BTTS63%
NEC Nijmegen win to nil16%
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw63%
Under 3.5 goals61%
Correct score 1–110%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D L W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NEC 1 · D 3 · FEY 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord
Nov 2025Feyenoord 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
Mar 2025Feyenoord 0–0 NEC Nijmegen
Sept 2024NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord
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Common questions

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model rates this match: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favoured (38% win probability vs 37% for NEC Nijmegen, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (11.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.19.

How does Bawler predict NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives NEC Nijmegen 37%, the draw 25% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.58 and away expected goals 1.60.

Over or under 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.19. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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