Feyenoord Rotterdam beat NEC Nijmegen 3–1. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. NEC Nijmegen had 12 shots (2 on target) to Feyenoord Rotterdam's 11 (6), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Feyenoord Rotterdam beat NEC Nijmegen 3–1. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. NEC Nijmegen had 12 shots (2 on target) to Feyenoord Rotterdam's 11 (6), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Feyenoord Rotterdam, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 37%, the draw 24% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 39%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.1, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 5–7, Big chances 1–4, Corners 1–1, Saves 2–1, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord Rotterdam scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw 63%, it finished Feyenoord Rotterdam won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.