FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 23 August 2026
SC Cambuur 2–5 Feyenoord RotterdamMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Feyenoord Rotterdam to win at 72%. Bawler had SC Cambuur at 11%, the draw at 17% and Feyenoord Rotterdam at 72%. The match finished 2–5.
Pre-match probability vs result
SC Cambuur win
11%
Draw
17%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
72%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 2.6
Total 3.6
Actual
2 – 5
Total 7 (+3.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 2.6
From the match itself
The match produced 3.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 30%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.