FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 23 August 2026
SC Cambuur 2–5 Feyenoord RotterdamMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 23 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had SC Cambuur at 11%, draw at 17%, Feyenoord Rotterdam at 72%. The match ended 2-5 — confirming the model's lean toward Feyenoord Rotterdam.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Cambuur win
11%
Draw
17%
Rotterdam win
72%
Actual ✓
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
0.97 – 2.62
Total 3.59
Actual
2 – 5
Total 7 (+3.4 vs xG)
Match overperformed xG by 3.4 goals. Above-expectation scoring — could be finishing, set-piece luck, or genuine attacking quality the model under-rated.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Away Win
Pre-match: 72%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 30%
✗ Lost