Nashville SC vs Toronto FC prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK
58Nashville SC win24Draw18Toronto FC win
Our call before kickoff
82%
Nashville SC or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.

Nashville SCFull-time statsToronto FC
62%Possession38%
2.6Expected goals (xG)0.5
23Shots11
11Shots on target3
17Shots inside box5
5Big chances0
9Corners3
3Saves9
12Fouls9
5Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNashville SC or draw 82%Nashville SC won (58% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score51%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Nashville SC to score84%
2 or more goals76%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer70%
Toronto FC to score61%
3 or more goals52%
Both teams score51%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Nashville SCNashville SCToronto FCToronto FC
1.8Goals0.9
14.2Shots9.6
4.8On target4.1
4.9Corners4.4
Nashville SCNashville SCToronto FCToronto FC
0.9Goals0.4
7.1Shots4.2
2.4On target1.8
2.3Corners2.1
Nashville SCNashville SCToronto FCToronto FC
0.9Goals0.6
7.1Shots5.4
2.4On target2.3
2.6Corners2.3

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Nashville SC
60%
to score before half-time
Toronto FC
31%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Nashville SCNashville SCToronto FCToronto FC
65%6+ shots28%
41%8+ shots11%
87%1+ shots on target79%
41%3+ shots on target27%
86%1+ corners82%
39%3+ corners33%

League position

Toronto FC in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Sept 2026Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC
Jul 2025Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC
May 2025Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC
Jun 2024Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC
May 2024Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 58%, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 18%.

What were the stats in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.5, Shots 23–11, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 5–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–9, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0.

Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

No. It finished 2–0, so Toronto FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 82%, it finished Nashville SC won (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Nashville SC form →Toronto FC form →