Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.
Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 58%, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 18%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.5, Shots 23–11, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 5–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–9, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0.
No. It finished 2–0, so Toronto FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 82%, it finished Nashville SC won (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.