FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Nashville SC to win at 71%. Bawler had Nashville SC at 71%, the draw at 17% and Sporting Kansas City at 12%. The match finished 4–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Nashville SC win
71%
Result
Draw
17%
Sporting Kansas City win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.9
Total 3.5
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+0.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.8 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.5 of our 3.5.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Nashville SC to win
Pre-match: 71%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.