Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK
Nashville SC 54Draw 23FC Cincinnati 23
The call
84%
Over 1.5 goals
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0

How it finished

Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.

Nashville SCFull-time statsFC Cincinnati
52%Possession48%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.8
19Shots15
7Shots on target8
12Shots inside box9
4Big chances5
6Corners4
6Saves4
14Fouls9
4Offsides0
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNashville SC 54%Nashville SC (54% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score62%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 84%Landed
Second callHome Win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Nashville SC to score86%
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Cincinnati to score72%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Nashville SCBefore half-timeFC Cincinnati
65%Chance to score52%
10.1Expected shots4.9
3.3Expected shots on target2.8
3.6Expected corners2.3
66%Chance of 9+ shots8%
43%Chance of 11+ shots2%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
42%Chance of 4+ shots on target30%
68%Chance of 3+ corners40%
31%Chance of 5+ corners10%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 83%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NAS 1 · D 2 · CIN 2
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Sept 2025FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC
Mar 2025Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati
Sept 2024Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati
May 2024FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 54%, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 23%.

What were the stats in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.8, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 4–5, Corners 6–4, Saves 6–4, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

No. It finished 4–0, so FC Cincinnati failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Nashville SC 54%, it finished Nashville SC (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Nashville SC form →FC Cincinnati form →