Napoli beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Napoli in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Napoli had 15 shots (3 on target) to Bologna's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 43%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Napoli beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Napoli in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Napoli had 15 shots (3 on target) to Bologna's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 43%.
Napoli 1–0 Bologna, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Napoli 45%, the draw 28% and Bologna 27%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–43%, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–2, Corners 10–0, Saves 2–3, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Napoli or draw 73%, it finished Napoli won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Missed.