FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Bologna 1–1 TorinoMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bologna win
50%
Draw
26%
Result
Torino win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.