Marseille vs Olympiacos prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
51Marseille win25Draw25Olympiacos win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Olympiacos beat Marseille 1–0. Marseille had 11 shots (5 on target) to Olympiacos' 9 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.6, so Marseille created the better chances and still lost the game.

MarseilleFull-time statsOlympiacos
56%Possession44%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.6
11Shots9
5Shots on target4
9Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
9Corners1
3Saves5
15Fouls11
3Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Marseille win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.2
2.9 in total
Both teams score
57%
Leans yes
3+ goals
56%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MarseilleMarseilleOlympiacosOlympiacos
1.8Goals1.2
14.5Shots16.8
4.6On target5.7
4.3Corners5.7
MarseilleMarseilleOlympiacosOlympiacos
0.6Goals0.3
6.4Shots6.7
2.1On target2.3
2.0Corners2.7
MarseilleMarseilleOlympiacosOlympiacos
1.1Goals0.9
8.1Shots10.1
2.5On target3.4
2.3Corners3.0

What we said the chances were

Marseille to score83%
2 or more goals79%
Olympiacos to score69%
3 goals or fewer67%
Goal before half-time61%

First half — what we expected

Marseille
48%
to score before half-time
Olympiacos
25%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MarseilleMarseilleOlympiacosOlympiacos
57%6+ shots61%
33%8+ shots36%
84%1+ shots on target86%
34%3+ shots on target39%
56%2+ corners69%
17%4+ corners29%

League position

Olympiacos in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Dec 2020Marseille 2–1 Olympiacos
Oct 2020Olympiacos 1–0 Marseille
Nov 2011Marseille 0–1 Olympiacos
Sept 2011Olympiacos 0–1 Marseille
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Marseille form →Olympiacos form →

Common questions

Who won Marseille vs Olympiacos?

Olympiacos beat Marseille 1–0. Marseille had 11 shots (5 on target) to Olympiacos' 9 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.6, so Marseille created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Marseille vs Olympiacos?

Marseille 0–1 Olympiacos, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Marseille 51%, the draw 25% and Olympiacos 25%.

What were the stats in Marseille vs Olympiacos?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.6, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 9–1, Saves 3–5, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Marseille vs Olympiacos?

No. It finished 0–1, so Marseille failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.