FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Marseille 4–3 Le Havre ACMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Marseille win
57%
Result
Draw
23%
Le Havre AC win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.1
Total 3.1
Actual
4 – 3
Total 7 (+3.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 3.0
From the match itself
The match produced 3.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.