FT · Europe: Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Olympiacos 2–1 Jagiellonia BialystokMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Olympiacos win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Jagiellonia Bialystok win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.