France: Ligue 1Saturday 29 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Lyon vLe Havre AC

Most likely scoreline
2–0
11% of the time · 2.98 goals expected
Lyon 63%Draw 24%Le Havre AC 13%
How we get there
LyonstepLe Havre AC
2.10Base xG · rolling 26-match0.88
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.10Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.88

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Lyon average 5.9 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Le Havre average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
4
2
1
1
11
9
4
1
2
11
10
4
1
3
8
7
3
1
4
4
4
2
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Lyon fixtures & form →Le Havre AC fixtures & form →

Lyon vs Le Havre — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Lyon and Le Havre — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Lyon 63% · draw 24% · Le Havre 13%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Lyon predictions & form →Le Havre predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.