How it finished
Lyon and Le Havre AC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lyon had 15 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Lyon and Le Havre AC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lyon had 15 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Lyon 1–1 Le Havre AC, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 59%, the draw 23% and Le Havre AC 18%.
What were the stats in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.7, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 5–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Lyon vs Le Havre AC?
Yes — both Lyon and Le Havre AC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre AC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lyon 59%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.