How it finished
Lille beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lille had 13 shots (6 on target) to Troyes' 8 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lille vs Troyes?
Lille beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Lille in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lille had 13 shots (6 on target) to Troyes' 8 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Lille vs Troyes?
Lille 2–0 Troyes, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 64%, the draw 22% and Troyes 15%.
What were the stats in Lille vs Troyes?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.4, Shots 13–8, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 4–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–20, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Lille vs Troyes?
No. It finished 2–0, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lille vs Troyes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lille to win 64%, it finished Lille won (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.