FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Lille 2–0 TroyesMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lille win
64%
Result
Draw
22%
Troyes win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.9
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.