Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
43Lech Poznan win24Draw33Bayer Leverkusen win
Full time
0–4

How it finished

Bayer Leverkusen beat Lech Poznan 4–0. Lech Poznan had 10 shots (3 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 22 (10), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 5.3.

Lech PoznanFull-time statsBayer…
39%Possession61%
0.5Expected goals (xG)5.3
10Shots22
3Shots on target10
3Shots inside box18
0Big chances8
4Corners5
7Saves3
5Fouls16
1Offsides4
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Lech Poznan win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.5
3.3 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
64%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.8Goals1.5
17.4Shots10.0
6.6On target5.4
5.0Corners7.0
Lech PoznanLech PoznanBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
0.8Goals0.9
8.5Shots4.6
3.0On target2.6
2.3Corners3.3
Lech PoznanLech PoznanBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.0Goals0.6
8.9Shots5.4
3.6On target2.8
2.6Corners3.7

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Lech Poznan to score83%
Goal before half-time81%
Bayer Leverkusen to score78%

First half — what we expected

Lech Poznan
54%
to score before half-time
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
57%8+ shots14%
36%10+ shots<10%
76%2+ shots on target70%
35%4+ shots on target28%
63%2+ corners79%
23%4+ corners41%

League position

Bayer Leverkusen in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Lech Poznan form →Bayer Leverkusen form →

Common questions

Who won Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen beat Lech Poznan 4–0. Lech Poznan had 10 shots (3 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 22 (10), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 5.3.

What was the final score in Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Lech Poznan 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lech Poznan 43%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 33%.

What were the stats in Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–5.3, Shots 10–22, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 3–18, Big chances 0–8, Corners 4–5, Saves 7–3, Fouls 5–16, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

No. It finished 0–4, so Lech Poznan failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.