FT · Europe: Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 NK CeljeMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bayer Leverkusen win
65%
Result
Draw
20%
NK Celje win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.0
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.