FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB LeipzigMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bayer Leverkusen win
50%
Result
Draw
23%
RB Leipzig win
27%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.5
Total 3.5
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.