How it finished
Brest beat Le Havre AC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Le Havre AC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Brest 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Le Havre AC had 18 shots (4 on target) to Brest's 19 (9), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Le Havre AC vs Brest?
Brest beat Le Havre AC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Le Havre AC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Brest 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Le Havre AC had 18 shots (4 on target) to Brest's 19 (9), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.4.
What was the final score in Le Havre AC vs Brest?
Le Havre AC 1–2 Brest, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Le Havre AC 39%, the draw 27% and Brest 34%.
What were the stats in Le Havre AC vs Brest?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–2.4, Shots 18–19, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 13–12, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 7–3, Fouls 15–18, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Brest?
Yes — both Le Havre AC and Brest scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Le Havre AC vs Brest right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Le Havre AC or draw 66%, it finished Brest won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.