Le Havre AC vs Brest prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK
Le Havre AC 39Draw 28Brest 33
The call
39%
Le Havre AC to win
2.6
Goals expected
13d 18hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Le Havre AC or draw67%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
BTTS52%
Le Havre AC win to nil22%
Brest or draw61%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Correct score 1–113%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D D D L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LEL 1 · D 0 · BRE 4

Head to head

Mar 2026Brest 2–0 Le Havre
Oct 2025Le Havre 1–0 Brest
Jul 2025Brest 1–0 Le Havre
Jan 2025Le Havre 0–1 Brest
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Common questions

Who will win Le Havre AC vs Brest?

Bawler's model rates this match: Le Havre AC are favoured (39% win probability vs 33% for Brest, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre AC vs Brest?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Le Havre AC 1-1 Brest (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.59.

How does Bawler predict Le Havre AC vs Brest?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Le Havre AC 39%, the draw 28% and Brest 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Brest?

BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.37 and away expected goals 1.22.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Le Havre AC vs Brest?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.59. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Le Havre AC form →Brest form →