FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Brest 0–1 Paris Saint-GermainMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Brest win
19%
Draw
23%
Paris Saint-Germain win
58%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.0
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.