LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
LA Galaxy 38Draw 24San Jose Earthquakes 38
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

LA Galaxy beat San Jose Earthquakes 1–0. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLA Galaxy 38%LA Galaxy (38% called)
Total goals3.41
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals85%
LA Galaxy to score82%
San Jose Earthquakes to score82%
Over 2.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LAL 2 · D 2 · SAN 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jul 2026San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 LA Galaxy
Jun 2025San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 LA Galaxy
May 2025LA Galaxy 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Aug 2024San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 LA Galaxy
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?

LA Galaxy beat San Jose Earthquakes 1–0. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored.

What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?

LA Galaxy 1–0 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 38%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 38%.

Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said LA Galaxy 38%, it finished LA Galaxy (38% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →LA Galaxy form →San Jose Earthquakes form →