LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK
LA Galaxy 42Draw 26New England Revolution 32
The call
42%
LA Galaxy to win
2.9
Goals expected
14d 01hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

LA Galaxy or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
BTTS58%
LA Galaxy win to nil21%
New England Revolution or draw58%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L D D L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LAL 3 · D 0 · NEW 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Aug 2022New England Revolution 1–2 LA Galaxy
Jun 2019LA Galaxy 1–2 New England Revolution
Jul 2018New England Revolution 2–3 LA Galaxy
Jul 2017New England Revolution 4–3 LA Galaxy
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Common questions

Who will win LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

Bawler's model rates this match: LA Galaxy are favoured (42% win probability vs 32% for New England Revolution, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is LA Galaxy 1-1 New England Revolution (12.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.88.

How does Bawler predict LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives LA Galaxy 42%, the draw 26% and New England Revolution 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.55 and away expected goals 1.32.

Over or under 2.5 goals in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.88. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →LA Galaxy form →New England Revolution form →