LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK
LA Galaxy 42Draw 26New England Revolution 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
LA Galaxy or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

LA Galaxy beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. LA Galaxy had 8 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.3, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.

LA GalaxyFull-time statsNew England…
48%Possession52%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.3
8Shots24
3Shots on target7
7Shots inside box19
1Big chances1
5Corners3
6Saves1
12Fouls11
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLA Galaxy or draw 68%LA Galaxy won (42% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LA GalaxyNew England Revolution
1.6
Goals+0.2
1.4
14.2
Shots+0.4
14.7
5.3
On target+0.2
5.5
4.9
Corners
4.9
LA GalaxyNew England Revolution
0.5
Goals
0.5
6.5
Shots+0.4
6.8
2.5
On target+0.1
2.6
2.3
Corners
2.3
LA GalaxyNew England Revolution
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
7.7
Shots+0.1
7.8
2.8
On target+0.1
3.0
2.6
Corners
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
LA Galaxy to score80%
New England Revolution to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

LA Galaxy
53%
to score before half-time
New England Revolution
54%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

LA GalaxyNew England Revolution
6.51st-half shots6.8
2.51st-half shots on target2.6
2.31st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

58%Chance of 6+ shots62%
34%Chance of 8+ shots38%
66%Chance of 2+ shots on target69%
25%Chance of 4+ shots on target27%
86%Chance of 1+ corners85%
39%Chance of 3+ corners39%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · LA Galaxy6.57.7
Shots · New England Revolution6.87.8
Shots on target · LA Galaxy2.52.8
Shots on target · New England Revolution2.63.0
Corners · LA Galaxy2.32.6
Corners · New England Revolution2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LA Galaxy 3 · Draws 0 · New England Revolution 2
New England Revolution in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Aug 2022New England Revolution 1–2 LA Galaxy
Jun 2019LA Galaxy 1–2 New England Revolution
Jul 2018New England Revolution 2–3 LA Galaxy
Jul 2017New England Revolution 4–3 LA Galaxy
May 2016LA Galaxy 4–2 New England Revolution
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

LA Galaxy beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. LA Galaxy had 8 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.3, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

LA Galaxy 2–1 New England Revolution, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 42%, the draw 26% and New England Revolution 32%.

What were the stats in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.3, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–19, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–3, Saves 6–1, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

Yes — both LA Galaxy and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 68%, it finished LA Galaxy won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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