Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction — Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 17:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 17:30 UK
Hull City 14Draw 21Aston Villa 65
The call
65%
Aston Villa to win
3.0
Goals expected
13d 16hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Hull City or draw35%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
BTTS52%
Hull City win to nil7%
Aston Villa or draw86%
Under 3.5 goals64%
Correct score 0–211%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W D W W W
Expected goals gap (xG)-1.2 / match
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Common questions

Who will win Hull City vs Aston Villa?

Bawler's model rates this match: Aston Villa are favoured (65% win probability vs 14% for Hull City, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Aston Villa?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hull City 0-2 Aston Villa (10.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.02.

How does Bawler predict Hull City vs Aston Villa?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Hull City 14%, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 65%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Aston Villa?

BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.90 and away expected goals 2.12.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Hull City vs Aston Villa?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.02. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Hull City form →Aston Villa form →