Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone prediction — Scottish Prem · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Scottish Prem · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Heart of Midlothian 66Draw 20St Johnstone 14
The call
66%
Heart of Midlothian to win
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

Heart of…Full-time statsSt Johnstone
47%Possession53%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.2
16Shots9
7Shots on target4
9Shots inside box8
2Big chances1
8Corners4
3Saves7
11Fouls14
1Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHeart of Midlothian 66%Heart of Midlothian (66% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callHome Win 66%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Heart of Midlothian to score89%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Heart of MidlothianBefore half-timeSt Johnstone
57%Chance to score33%
6.6Expected shots2.4
1.8Expected shots on target1.4
2.3Expected corners0.2
62%Chance of 6+ shots5%
35%Chance of 8+ shots1%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
27%Chance of 3+ shots on target17%
88%Chance of 1+ corners14%
39%Chance of 3+ corners0%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5HEA 5 · D 0 · STS 0
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2025Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St. Johnstone
Feb 2025St. Johnstone 1–2 Heart of Midlothian
Dec 2024Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St. Johnstone
Nov 2024St. Johnstone 1–2 Heart of Midlothian
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St Johnstone, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 66%, the draw 20% and St Johnstone 14%.

What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–7, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and St Johnstone scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Heart of Midlothian 66%, it finished Heart of Midlothian (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 66%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →St Johnstone form →