Match prediction·Scotland: Scottish Prem·Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
44.6% home30.4% draw24.9% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
FalkirkstepHeart of Midlothian
1.61Base xG · rolling 26-match1.16
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.61Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.16

Falkirk average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Hearts average 5.6 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
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0
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10
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8
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home windrawaway win

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

More predictions for these teams

Falkirk fixtures & form →Heart of Midlothian fixtures & form →

Falkirk vs Hearts — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Falkirk and Hearts — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Falkirk 45% · draw 30% · Hearts 25%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Falkirk predictions & form →Hearts predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.