What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler's model rates this match: Heart of Midlothian are favoured (41% win probability vs 32% for Falkirk, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Falkirk 1-1 Heart of Midlothian (13.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.60.
How does Bawler predict Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Falkirk 32%, the draw 28% and Heart of Midlothian 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
BTTS: Yes (53% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.21 and away expected goals 1.40.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.60. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).