FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart of MidlothianMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Kilmarnock win
22%
Draw
23%
Result
Heart of Midlothian win
55%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 2.0
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.