Fiorentina vs Torino prediction — Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 14:00 UK

Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 14:00 UK
Fiorentina 50Draw 26Torino 24
The call
50%
Fiorentina to win
2.8
Goals expected
13d 12hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Fiorentina or draw76%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
BTTS54%
Fiorentina win to nil27%
Torino or draw50%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L D W D W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FIO 1 · D 4 · TOR 0

Head to head

Feb 2026Fiorentina 2–2 Torino
Aug 2025Torino 0–0 Fiorentina
Jan 2025Fiorentina 1–1 Torino
Nov 2024Torino 0–1 Fiorentina
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Common questions

Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?

Bawler's model rates this match: Fiorentina are favoured (50% win probability vs 24% for Torino, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fiorentina 1-1 Torino (12.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.78.

How does Bawler predict Fiorentina vs Torino?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fiorentina 50%, the draw 26% and Torino 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Torino?

BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.68 and away expected goals 1.10.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Torino?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.78. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Fiorentina form →Torino form →