Fenerbahce and Lyon drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 12 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Fenerbahce and Lyon drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 12 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.8.
Fenerbahce 1–1 Lyon, played on 18 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 46%, the draw 27% and Lyon 27%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.8, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–0, Saves 4–4, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Fenerbahce and Lyon scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Fenerbahce 46%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Landed.