Fenerbahce vs Besiktas prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 6 Sept · 19:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 6 Sept · 19:00 UK
Fenerbahce 56Draw 23Besiktas 21
The call
56%
Fenerbahce to win
3.1
Goals expected
14d 00hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Fenerbahce or draw79%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
BTTS58%
Fenerbahce win to nil28%
Besiktas or draw44%
Under 3.5 goals63%
Correct score 1–110%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W W L D W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FEN 2 · D 0 · BES 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş
Dec 2025Fenerbahçe 1–2 Beşiktaş
Nov 2025Beşiktaş 2–3 Fenerbahçe
May 2025Fenerbahçe 0–1 Beşiktaş
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Common questions

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?

Bawler's model rates this match: Fenerbahce are favoured (56% win probability vs 21% for Besiktas, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fenerbahce 1-1 Besiktas (10.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.08.

How does Bawler predict Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fenerbahce 56%, the draw 23% and Besiktas 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?

BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.94 and away expected goals 1.13.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.08. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Fenerbahce form →Besiktas form →