Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.
Alanyaspor 1–0 Besiktas, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alanyaspor 27%, the draw 27% and Besiktas 46%.
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.7, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–7, Saves 6–2, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 2–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Besiktas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Besiktas 46%, it finished Alanyaspor (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said X2 73%, it finished Missed.