Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 29 Aug · 15:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 29 Aug · 15:30 UK
Excelsior 47Draw 25Sparta Rotterdam 28
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Excelsior beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1. Bawler's model had Excelsior in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultExcelsior 47%Excelsior (47% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second call1X 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Excelsior to score83%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Sparta Rotterdam to score73%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

ExcelsiorBefore half-timeSparta Rotterdam
57%Chance to score30%
7.8Expected shots7.8
2.8Expected shots on target2.3
3.4Expected corners2.7
64%Chance of 7+ shots65%
39%Chance of 9+ shots39%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
31%Chance of 4+ shots on target20%
83%Chance of 2+ corners73%
43%Chance of 4+ corners29%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 70%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5EXC 2 · D 0 · SPA 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior
Sept 2025Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Feb 2024Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior
Oct 2023Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Excelsior beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1. Bawler's model had Excelsior in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3.

What was the final score in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Excelsior 47%, the draw 25% and Sparta Rotterdam 28%.

Did both teams score in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Yes — both Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Excelsior 47%, it finished Excelsior (47% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Excelsior form →Sparta Rotterdam form →