FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 HeerenveenMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sparta Rotterdam win
39%
Draw
25%
Heerenveen win
36%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.6
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.