FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 09 August 2026
Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Feyenoord RotterdamMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 09 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Sparta Rotterdam at 38%, draw at 31%, Feyenoord Rotterdam at 31%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-1. The model's headline call was Sparta Rotterdam to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Rotterdam win
38%
Draw
31%
Rotterdam win
31%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
BTTS Yes
Pre-match: 53%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 24%
✗ Lost