FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 13 September 2026
PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta RotterdamMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
PSV Eindhoven win
73%
Result
Draw
16%
Sparta Rotterdam win
11%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.7 – 1.0
Total 3.7
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.8 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.