Bawler / Netherlands: Eredivisie / Excelsior
Team profile · Netherlands: Eredivisie

Excelsior Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
4 settled
Goals for
1.56
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.64
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
4/4 calls

Excelsior prediction: for Excelsior's next match — Excelsior vs PSV on Saturday 15 Aug, 18:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Excelsior win looks most likely (37%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Excelsior sit close to the Eredivisie average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.56 expected goals a game and conceding 1.64. They are unbeaten across their last 4 settled matches. Next up is PSV Eindhoven, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 37%.

Next match

Home vs PSV · Saturday 15 Aug, 18:00 UTC

Win
37%
Excelsior
Draw
30%
Loss
33%
PSV
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 0L
Real goals
2.3 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Excelsior compare with the Netherlands: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.56
Below average
Goals against
1.64
Leakier than most
Scored1.56
Conceded1.64

The grey line on each bar is the Netherlands: Eredivisie average (1.60 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Excelsior fixtures (4/4).

📊 Excelsior in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.6
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
🏠 4.2✈️ 4.4
12.7
Shots · per game
faced 14.5
🏠 12.8✈️ 12.6
4.5
On target · per game
faced 5.3
🏠 4.3✈️ 4.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
07 Aug
4-0
@ Cambuur
🚩 8-5
07 Aug
4-0
@ SC Cambuur
🚩 8-5
17 May
3-2
@ Sparta Rotterdam
🚩 2-5
10 May
1-1
vs Volendam
🚩 5-0
02 May
3-2
@ Groningen
🚩 8-5
26 Apr
5-0
vs Utrecht
🚩 3-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INAymen SlitiLWfrom FeyenoordLoan
INValentin SulzbacherDMfrom SalzburgUndisclosed
INKasey BosLBfrom Mainz 05Loan
INJan PlugCBfrom FeyenoordLoan
INMarlon van de WeteringRBfrom FC EindhovenUndisclosed
INHamdi AkujobiRBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INCelton BiaiGKfrom FC DordrechtFree transfer
INMario Domínguezfrom ValenciaLoan
OUTDerensili Sanches FernandesRWto Huddersfield Town€1m
OUTJerolldino BergraafSTto AZ AlkmaarLoan
OUTArthur ZagréLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTEmil HanssonLWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTCalvin RaatsieGKto FC DordrechtFree transfer
OUTAdam CarlénDMto Artis BrnoUndisclosed
OUTIlias BronkhorstRBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTHamdi AkujobiRBto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Excelsior prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly