Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UK
Everton 54Draw 25Wolverhampton Wanderers 21
The call
79%
Everton or draw
2.7
Goals expected
12d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Everton to score82%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score62%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L W D W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5EVE 2 · D 2 · WOL 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jan 2026Everton 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sept 2025Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Everton
Aug 2025Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–3 Everton
Mar 2025Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 Everton
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Common questions

Who will win Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model rates this match: Everton are favoured (54% win probability vs 21% for Wolverhampton Wanderers, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Everton 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers (12.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.68.

How does Bawler predict Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Everton 54%, the draw 25% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.70 and away expected goals 0.97.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.68. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premier League table →Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Everton form →Wolverhampton Wanderers form →