Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK
Wolverhampton Wanderers 62Draw 23Stoke City 15
The call
62%
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1

How it finished

Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Stoke City 4–1. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 18 shots (8 on target) to Stoke City's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.9.

Wolverhampton…Full-time statsStoke City
53%Possession47%
2.6Expected goals (xG)0.9
18Shots10
8Shots on target3
13Shots inside box6
6Big chances1
7Corners1
2Saves4
13Fouls15
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultWolverhampton Wanderers 62%Wolverhampton Wanderers (62% called)
Total goals2.75
Both teams to score47%Yes
Model callHome Win 62%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 50%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score85%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%

First half — what we expected

Wolverhampton WanderersBefore half-timeStoke City
63%Chance to score27%
4.7Expected shots6.1
1.7Expected shots on target2.1
1.7Expected corners2.3
49%Chance of 5+ shots70%
21%Chance of 7+ shots41%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
24%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
78%Chance of 1+ corners88%
24%Chance of 3+ corners40%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5WOL 1 · D 3 · STO 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jul 2025Stoke City 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jul 2021Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 Stoke City
Sept 2020Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 Stoke City
Jul 2018Stoke City 0–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Stoke City 4–1. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 18 shots (8 on target) to Stoke City's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–1 Stoke City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wolverhampton Wanderers 62%, the draw 23% and Stoke City 15%.

What were the stats in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.9, Shots 18–10, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 6–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Yes — both Wolverhampton Wanderers and Stoke City scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Wolverhampton Wanderers 62%, it finished Wolverhampton Wanderers (62% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 62%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 50%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Wolverhampton Wanderers form →Stoke City form →