AFC Bournemouth vs Everton prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
AFC Bournemouth 51Draw 24Everton 25
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

AFC Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. AFC Bournemouth had 17 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 13 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

BournemouthFull-time statsEverton
58%Possession42%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.7
17Shots13
5Shots on target7
13Shots inside box7
3Big chances3
10Corners7
5Saves4
11Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAFC Bournemouth 51%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second callHome Win 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
AFC Bournemouth to score84%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Everton to score71%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

AFC BournemouthBefore half-timeEverton
54%Chance to score41%
7.0Expected shots5.4
2.3Expected shots on target1.7
3.4Expected corners2.1
68%Chance of 6+ shots44%
41%Chance of 8+ shots19%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
41%Chance of 3+ shots on target25%
82%Chance of 2+ corners59%
43%Chance of 4+ corners17%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BOU 4 · D 0 · EVE 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Everton 1–2 AFC Bournemouth
Dec 2025AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Everton
Jul 2025Everton 0–3 AFC Bournemouth
Feb 2025Everton 0–2 AFC Bournemouth
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

AFC Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. AFC Bournemouth had 17 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 13 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Everton, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 51%, the draw 24% and Everton 25%.

What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.7, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 10–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

Yes — both AFC Bournemouth and Everton scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Everton right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AFC Bournemouth 51%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →AFC Bournemouth form →Everton form →