How it finished
Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Everton had 18 shots (6 on target) to Manchester United's 14 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Everton had 18 shots (6 on target) to Manchester United's 14 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton 2–2 Manchester United, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Everton 32%, the draw 26% and Manchester United 43%.
What were the stats in Everton vs Manchester United?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.7, Shots 18–14, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 7–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Everton vs Manchester United?
Yes — both Everton and Manchester United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Everton vs Manchester United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United or draw 68%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.