Everton vs Manchester United prediction — Premier League · Sun 6 Sept · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 6 Sept · 14:00 UK
Everton 31Draw 26Manchester United 44
The call
44%
Manchester United to win
3.0
Goals expected
13d 19hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Everton or draw56%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
BTTS59%
Everton win to nil15%
Manchester United or draw69%
Under 3.5 goals66%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L D L W D W
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Everton vs Manchester United?

Bawler's model rates this match: Manchester United are favoured (44% win probability vs 31% for Everton, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Manchester United?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Everton 1-1 Manchester United (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.96.

How does Bawler predict Everton vs Manchester United?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Everton 31%, the draw 26% and Manchester United 44%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Manchester United?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.34 and away expected goals 1.63.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Everton vs Manchester United?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.96. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Everton form →Manchester United form →