Deportivo vs Real Betis prediction — LaLiga · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK
Deportivo 31Draw 27Real Betis 42
The call
69%
Real Betis or draw
2.8
Goals expected
14d 07hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Real Betis to score78%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Deportivo to score72%
Under 3.5 goals70%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Real Betis
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Juan Hernández
FW · 3.0 shots expected
95%
61%
24%
Antony
MF · 3.0 shots expected
95%
63%
26%
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
MF · 2.6 shots expected
93%
57%
21%
Rodrigo Riquelme
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
46%
13%
Nelson Deossa
MF · 1.9 shots expected
84%
46%
13%
Giovani Lo Celso
MF · 1.8 shots expected
83%
45%
12%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5DEP 2 · D 1 · BET 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Aug 2019Deportivo A Coruña 1–0 Real Betis
Feb 2018Deportivo A Coruña 0–1 Real Betis
Sept 2017Real Betis 2–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Mar 2017Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Real Betis
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Deportivo vs Real Betis?

Bawler's model rates this match: Real Betis are favoured (42% win probability vs 31% for Deportivo, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo vs Real Betis?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Deportivo 1-1 Real Betis (12.7% probability). Expected total goals: 2.75.

How does Bawler predict Deportivo vs Real Betis?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Deportivo 31%, the draw 27% and Real Betis 42%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Deportivo vs Real Betis?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.26 and away expected goals 1.50.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Deportivo vs Real Betis?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.75. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Deportivo form →Real Betis form →