FT · Spain: La Liga · Friday, 16 October 2026
Deportivo 1–1 LevanteMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 16 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Deportivo or draw at 69%. Bawler had Deportivo at 44%, the draw at 24% and Levante at 31%. The match finished 1–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Deportivo win
44%
Draw
24%
Result
Levante win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.5
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 83%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.