D.C. United vs Red Bull New York prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK
45D.C. United win24Draw31Red Bull New York win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

D.C. United beat Red Bull New York 2–1. D.C. United had 4 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 24 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 2.8, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.

D.C. UnitedFull-time statsRed Bull New…
25%Possession75%
1.2Expected goals (xG)2.8
4Shots24
3Shots on target6
4Shots inside box23
2Big chances3
3Corners11
5Saves1
9Fouls12
3Offsides0
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if D.C. United win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.5
3.3 in total
Both teams score
64%
Yes
3+ goals
63%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

D.C. UnitedD.C. UnitedRed Bull New YorkRed Bull New York
1.8Goals1.5
18.8Shots13.2
6.4On target5.4
5.9Corners5.4
D.C. UnitedD.C. UnitedRed Bull New YorkRed Bull New York
0.9Goals0.9
8.6Shots5.6
3.0On target2.4
2.8Corners2.5
D.C. UnitedD.C. UnitedRed Bull New YorkRed Bull New York
0.9Goals0.6
10.2Shots7.6
3.4On target3.0
3.1Corners2.8

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
D.C. United to score84%
Goal before half-time83%
Red Bull New York to score77%

First half — what we expected

D.C. United
58%
to score before half-time
Red Bull New York
59%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

D.C. UnitedD.C. UnitedRed Bull New YorkRed Bull New York
58%8+ shots24%
37%10+ shots10%
76%2+ shots on target65%
35%4+ shots on target23%
71%2+ corners66%
31%4+ corners26%

League position

Red Bull New York in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Red Bull New York 4–4 DC United
May 2025DC United 0–2 Red Bull New York
Apr 2025Red Bull New York 1–2 DC United
Jun 2024Red Bull New York 2–2 DC United
May 2024DC United 1–4 Red Bull New York
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →D.C. United form →Red Bull New York form →

Common questions

Who won D.C. United vs Red Bull New York?

D.C. United beat Red Bull New York 2–1. D.C. United had 4 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 24 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 2.8, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in D.C. United vs Red Bull New York?

D.C. United 2–1 Red Bull New York, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 45%, the draw 24% and Red Bull New York 31%.

What were the stats in D.C. United vs Red Bull New York?

Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.8, Shots 4–24, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 4–23, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–11, Saves 5–1, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 3–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in D.C. United vs Red Bull New York?

Yes — both D.C. United and Red Bull New York scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.