FT · USA: MLS · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
New England Revolution 3–2 Red Bull New YorkMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
New England Revolution win
52%
Result
Draw
23%
Red Bull New York win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.4
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 2.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.