FT · USA: MLS · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Toronto FC 2–1 D.C. UnitedMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Toronto FC win
44%
Result
Draw
26%
D.C. United win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.