What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?
Bawler's model rates this match: D.C. United are favoured (45% win probability vs 29% for Atlanta United FC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is D.C. United 1-1 Atlanta United FC (12.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.85.
How does Bawler predict D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives D.C. United 45%, the draw 26% and Atlanta United FC 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?
BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.61 and away expected goals 1.24.
Over or under 2.5 goals in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.85. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).