D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 00:30 UK
D.C. United 46Draw 26Atlanta United FC 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
D.C. United or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

D.C. United and Atlanta United FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. D.C. United had 4 shots (0 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 19 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.4.

D.C. UnitedFull-time statsAtlanta…
30%Possession70%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.4
4Shots19
0Shots on target3
2Shots inside box12
1Big chances2
4Corners8
2Saves0
16Fouls6
1Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callD.C. United or draw 72%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

D.C. UnitedAtlanta United FC
1.6
Goals+0.4
1.2
16.1
Shots+3.3
12.7
5.2
On target+1.0
4.2
5.5
Corners+0.6
5.0
D.C. UnitedAtlanta United FC
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
7.4
Shots+1.6
5.8
2.4
On target+0.4
2.0
2.6
Corners+0.3
2.3
D.C. UnitedAtlanta United FC
1.1
Goals+0.1
1.0
8.7
Shots+1.8
6.9
2.7
On target+0.6
2.2
2.9
Corners+0.3
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
D.C. United to score80%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Atlanta United FC to score71%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

D.C. United
56%
to score before half-time
Atlanta United FC
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

D.C. UnitedAtlanta United FC
7.41st-half shots5.8
2.41st-half shots on target2.0
2.61st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

69%Chance of 6+ shots50%
45%Chance of 8+ shots26%
88%Chance of 1+ shots on target83%
42%Chance of 3+ shots on target33%
68%Chance of 2+ corners63%
27%Chance of 4+ corners23%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · D.C. United7.48.7
Shots · Atlanta United FC5.86.9
Shots on target · D.C. United2.42.7
Shots on target · Atlanta United FC2.02.2
Corners · D.C. United2.62.9
Corners · Atlanta United FC2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5D.C. United 0 · Draws 4 · Atlanta United FC 1
Atlanta United FC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Atlanta United 0–0 DC United
Oct 2025Atlanta United 1–1 DC United
Jul 2025DC United 0–0 Atlanta United
Jul 2024Atlanta United 3–3 DC United
Jun 2024DC United 0–1 Atlanta United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

D.C. United and Atlanta United FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. D.C. United had 4 shots (0 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 19 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.4.

What was the final score in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

D.C. United 0–0 Atlanta United FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 46%, the draw 26% and Atlanta United FC 28%.

What were the stats in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.4, Shots 4–19, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 2–12, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–8, Saves 2–0, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

No. It finished 0–0, so D.C. United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said D.C. United or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →D.C. United form →Atlanta United FC form →