D.C. United and Atlanta United FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. D.C. United had 4 shots (0 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 19 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
D.C. United and Atlanta United FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. D.C. United had 4 shots (0 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 19 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 1.4.
D.C. United 0–0 Atlanta United FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 46%, the draw 26% and Atlanta United FC 28%.
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.4, Shots 4–19, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 2–12, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–8, Saves 2–0, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so D.C. United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said D.C. United or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.